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Pete's Poisson Picks

Discussion in 'System Proofing' started by Pete89, Jan 30, 2013.

  1. Punter

    Punter Moderator

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    6,924
    Get in Pete! Starting to look very good, this.
  2. slick

    slick Administrator

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    10,594
    Great stuff Pete, I read the thread title as 'Pete's poison picks' lol
    wtf is Poisson?
  3. slick

    slick Administrator

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    10,594
    Np's I've found it...I was googling 'possion' instead of poisson

    Calculates win probabilities and odds for Poisson-style proposition bets based upon an underlying win percentage
  4. Pete89

    Pete89 Member

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    349
    Thank's guys, I'm must waiting on the one week where I hit 0/10 though, I know it'll happen (It always does)

    Aye, I can't spell Slick, for those of you who are interested, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisson_distribution

    Anyway +£74 today for a total running profit of £315.08 (Which sadly is only actually about £60 for me as I'm still using smaller stakes, however I think it may be time to up them)
  5. rcgills

    rcgills Moderator

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    3,951
    Going well Pete. I've edited the thread title for you.
  6. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

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    9,988
    I thought it was a thread on how to cook fish
    Kegman likes this.
  7. Kegman

    Kegman Moderator

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    2,255
    How does the staking work Pete ?

    Did you stake £2.60 on each outcome or does it depend on the odds to level out so any outcome returns same amount ?
  8. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

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    9,988
    I think the stake differs to return £100 Kegs
  9. Pete89

    Pete89 Member

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    349
    As ODM says it's dutched to return £100
  10. Pete89

    Pete89 Member

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    349
    Liverpool V Swansea £50.65 (67.8% chance of win)
    0-0, 0-1, 0-2, 0-3, 1-0, 1-1, 1-2, 1-3, 2-0
  11. Pete89

    Pete89 Member

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    349
    Liverpool win 5-0 :unsure
    +264.43 to date
  12. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

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    9,988
    You're da man.
  13. Kegman

    Kegman Moderator

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    2,255
    I don't think Pete had 5-0 ODM :unsure
  14. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

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    9,988
    I'm looking at the profit figure keggers.

    Not too shabby that :beer
  15. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

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    9,988

    The dreaded words :frown

    I'm pretty sure that if I had a system that had won 364 days out of 364, as soon as I:

    a/ increased my stakes

    or

    b/ told someone about it

    I can guarantee it would nosedive
  16. Pete89

    Pete89 Member

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    349
    Sat:

    Fulham v Stoke £43.96
    0-1, 1-0, 2-0, 3-0, 3-1, AU

    Arsenal V Aston VIlla £21.88
    0-1, 0-2, 0-3, 1-1, 1-2, 1-3, 2-2, 2-3, 3-3

    Norwich V Everton £38.80
    0-0, 0-1, 1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0

    QPR v Man Utd £24.12
    1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, 3-2

    Reading v Wigan £25.32
    2-0, 2-3, 3-0, 3-2, 3-3, AU

    WBA V Sunderland £44.36
    0-1, 0-2, 1-0, 2-0, 3-0, AU

    Sun:

    Man City V Chelsea £40.36
    0-1, 0-2, 0-3, 1-2, 1-3, 2-2, 2-3, AU

    Newcastle V Southamption £26.12
    0-3, 1-3, 2-3, 3-0, 3-2, 3-3, AU

    Mon:

    West Ham V Tottenham £35.16
    1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, 3-1, 3-2, AU

    Total Staked: £300.08
  17. Pete89

    Pete89 Member

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    349
    £200 returned for saturday. 100 still on in stakes so a break even day today.
  18. Pete89

    Pete89 Member

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    349
    one win on Sunday last week for a loss of 8p :cry:lol
  19. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

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    9,988

    I knew it wouldn't last.:D

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