) by the middle of October. If you've read this week's Premiership thread here.. http://www.betnod.com/threads/english-premier-league-betting-20-21st-september-2014.3453/#post-48129 ....you will know what this is about but I've copied and pasted the relevant info below One of the things I was doing in between the world cup ending and the season beginning is having a bash at creating my own ratings - one that don't react in a knee-jerk fashion after every very good or very bad result for a team and also take into account the variation between home and away. It's obviously too early to say that they're worth taking any notice of but the results have been encouraging. With that in mind, I'll post the bare predictions up and the value bets based on that. Will also be of interest (to me anyway) whether I'd be better off betting on the straight result predicted overall or adapting those predictions -for example, taking draw no bet instead of straight win. Or even adapting stakes based on the strength of the predictions eg 30pts for 3/3 strength and 10 pts 1/3 strength. Anyway, my intention is to have three sets of P&L figures What I'd like to do where possible is change the outcome to 2 possibilities instead of the normal win -draw-win outcomes which I'm convinced is what makes me so shit at football betting as averaged out over the years. I'll do three sets of P&L figures initially (don't worry, I'll soon get bored after three losing weeks) as below... 1. Bets outlined in bold (this is the raison 'd'etre for putting time into this as these would be my actual bets if it proved to be worth following) using prices and stakes quoted at the end of each match paragraph. 2. Bets using standard 10pt per game stakes at the win/draw/win price quoted at the start of each match paragraph 3. Bets based on prices quoted at the start of each match paragraph using stakes of 10x the strength rating.